...I am a philosopher, I live a life wholly dominated by unanswered questions...
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Crazy Weather
After the insane wind last night (thursday night roughly 150kph out at Pt Atkinson, roughly 90kph in the city) that knocked out much of the city's power grid (including mine up here at SFU) for most of last night and today (Friday)... don't tell me it's snowing again!
Granted, I like the look of it, I've got work tomorrow!
aiya.
At least I've got power (and *heat*, and *hot water*, and *electricity-sparked gas stove* and *microwave* for food, and working phones - for some reason only one of mine worked properly today without power, and only one of those was a cordless) again.- 5:33 am
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Chugging away at term paper.
"Granny says that a little psychology is a dangerous thing and
inclineth a man to relativism." Jerry Fodor (1984)In the meantime:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Murphy's_law
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Finagle%27s_law
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sod%27s_law
Murphy's law is a popular adage in Western culture that most likely originated at Edwards Air Force Base in 1948. The Law broadly states that things will go wrong in any given situation, if you give them a chance.
"If there's more than one way to do a job, and one of those ways will
result in disaster, then somebody will do it that way." It is most
often cited as "Whatever can go wrong, will go wrong"(or, alternately, "Whatever can go wrong will go wrong, and at the
worst possible time," or, "Anything that can go wrong, will").Murphy's Law is sometimes confused with Finagle's Corollary, which is also known as Sod's law.
Finagle's Law of Dynamic Negatives (also known as Finagle's corollary to Murphy's Law) is usually rendered:
- Anything that can go wrong, will—at the worst possible moment
One variant (known as O'Toole's Corollary of Finagle's Law) favored among hackers is a takeoff on the second law of thermodynamics (also known as entropy):
- The perversity of the Universe tends towards a maximum.
The term "Finagle's Law" was first used by John W. Campbell, Jr., the influential editor of Astounding Science Fiction (later Analog). He used it frequently in his editorials for many years in the 1940s to 1960s but it never came into general usage the way Murphy's Law has.
Eventually the term "Finagle's law" was popularized by science fiction author Larry Niven in several stories depicting a frontier culture of asteroid miners; this "Belter" culture professed a religion and/or running joke involving the worship of the dread god Finagle and his mad prophet Murphy.[1]
Hanlon's Razor (or Hanlon's Law) is a corollary of Finagle's law. Hanlon's Razor says "Never attribute to malice that which can be adequately explained by stupidity."
Sod's Law is the name for the old and famous axiom"Anything that can go wrong, will". "Toast will always land butter side down" is often given as an
example of Sod's Law in action. The phrase is seemingly derived, at
least in part, from the colloquialism an "unlucky sod";
a term used to describe someone who has had some bad unlucky
experience, and is usually used as a sympathetic reference to the
person.The term is still commonly used in Britain, though in North America the newer eponymous "Murphy's Law" has become more popular.[2] This change may be partially due to the use of the word "sod", which could be taken to mean a "sodomite". However the word has passed into very common colloquial usage and tends to now be taken to only mean an arbitrary person.
"Sod’s Law" is similar to, but broader than, Murphy's law ("Whatever can go wrong, will go wrong").
For example, concepts such as "bad fortune will be tailored to the
individual" and "good fortune will occur in spite of the individual’s
actions" are sometimes given as examples of "Sod's Law" in action. This
would broaden "Sod's law" to a general sense of being "mocked by fate". In these aspects it is similar to some definitions of irony, particularly the irony of fate. Murphy's technological origin on John Stapp's Project MX981
is more upbeat — it was a reminder to the engineers and team members to
be cautious and make sure everything was accounted for, to let no stone
be unturned — not an acceptance of an uncaring uninfluencable fate.Some examples of "bad fortune will be tailored to the individual" include:
- Ludwig van Beethoven's loss of hearing - loss of hearing is bad fortune for anyone, but it is Sod’s Law that it would happen to a famous composer.
- Adolph Coors III, who was allergic to beer, was the heir to the Coors beer empire
– being allergic to beer is bad fortune for many, but it is Sod’s Law
that someone allergic to beer would inherit a beer empire (and, due to
a botched kidnapping attempt, die because of the empire's wealth, thus
being killed by beer, but only indirectly).
Some examples of "good fortune will occur in spite of the individual’s actions" include:
- If you take your raincoat and umbrella with you, it will be sunny –
any attempt you make to control your destiny (in this case how wet you
get) will be thwarted by fate. - You move to another city, only to meet and fall in love with someone from your hometown.
In French, Sod's law is rendered by the phrase: “c’est bien le Diable que…” (literally: “it really is Devil that…”)
Murphy's Lesser Known Laws
Category:
Misc.
Jumbo Joke is a free service of This is True, featuring bizarre-but-true news items from the world's press. Check the site for archives and free subscriptions.1. Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.
2. Change is inevitable, except from a vending machine.
3. Those who live by the sword get shot by those who don't.
4. Nothing is foolproof to a sufficiently talented fool.
5. The 50-50-90 rule: Anytime you have a 50-50 chance of getting
something right, there's a 90% probability you'll get it wrong.
6. If you lined up all the cars in the world end to end, someone
would be stupid enough to try to pass them, five or six at a time, on a
hill, in the fog.
7. The things that come to those who wait will be the scraggly junk left by those who got there first.
8. The shin bone is a device for finding furniture in a dark room.
9. A fine is a tax for doing wrong. A tax is a fine for doing well.
10. When you go into court, you are putting yourself into the hands
of 12 people who weren't smart enough to get out of jury duty.Good joke: Murphy's Lesser Known Laws
Aussies, Brits, Canadians and Americans Compared
Category:
Misc.
Jumbo Joke is a free service of This is True, featuring bizarre-but-true news items from the world's press. Check the site for archives and free subscriptions.Aussies: Dislike being mistaken for Brits when abroad.
Canadians: Are rather indignant about being mistaken for Americans when abroad.
Americans: Encourage being mistaken for Canadians when abroad.
Brits: Can't possibly be mistaken for anyone else when abroad.Aussies: Believe you should look out for your mates.
Brits: Believe that you should look out for those people who belong to your club.
Americans: Believe that people should look out for and take care of themselves.
Canadians: Believe that that's the government's job.Brits: Shop at home and have goods imported because they live on an island.
Aussies: Shop at home and have goods imported because they live on an island.
Americans: Cross the southern border for cheap shopping, gas and liquor in a backwards country.
Canadians: Cross the southern border for cheap shopping, gas and liquor in a backwards country.
Americans: Drink weak, urine-tasting beer.
Canadians: Drink strong, urine-tasting beer.
Brits: Drink warm, beery-tasting urine.
Aussies: Drink anything with alcohol in it.Americans: Seem to think that poverty and failure are morally suspect.
Canadians: Seem to believe that wealth and success are morally suspect.
Brits: Seem to believe that wealth, poverty, success, and failure are inherited things.
Aussies: Seem to think that none of this matters after several beers. -
SuperKitty strikes back
And... just for Mitch:Oh, also, interesting tidbit of news I
read on the net yesterday - it seems Nasa has found evidence that there
might have been running water on Mars perhaps just a few years ago, and
that there may
in all likelyhood still
be
running water there! Even though the gravity is lighter there (such
that water vapour "leaks" out of the planet's upper atmosphere, i.e.,
particles achieve escape velocity),
air pressure low enough to vapourise water that remains on the surface,
and the temperature drops low enough to freeze it, water may be coming
to the surface as a liquid from underground. They've been
comparing photos of canyons and other geological features taken over
the last decade; successive photos appear to go through changes
indicative of water erosion. Past missions have detected the presence
of frozen water at Mars' polar regions. Of course, as everyone
knows, if there really is liquid water there, this means that Mars
could still be hospitable to smaller forms of life today (more so than
in frozen water), and it also means more more useable water should we
choose to send a manned mission there in the near future. Go
figure, woot!Link: "Changing Mars Gullies Hint at Recent Flowing Water" on SPACE.com.
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photoshop fun - SuperKitty
Took a few minutes, was inspired to do some photoshopping:Original, stock footage:
After Photoshop:
SuperKitty Lifts Off!(smaller version for msn messenger)
The background sky image is a picture I took from the plane coming back from my Baltic trip a few years ago.Hehehe... Now I wanna make a t-shirt outta this!
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popcorn
Took some time out from healing from my
slip thursday... finally saw Bond tonight w/ spyo crew
tonight.
arrghhh.... popcorn expanding in stomach. Didn't have time
for dinner - full bag of popcorn and a movie cup 'o pop turned out to
suffice. Movie entertaining, though the pacing was allllll weird
and off - kept thinking the movie was ending when it went into its slow
modes. Wasn't a big fan of the opening sequence this round
through.In the news today: Stefane Dion chosen as new leader of the
Liberal Party. Suspending judgement on how he will do... pro's
right now: passionate federalist and supporter of
sustainability/environmental issues.A few things to note from the last few weeks that I've neglected to post:
-Crazy rain/windstorm on Wednesday-Thursday 22nd/23rd Nov. Left
most of the city without power, including home in hs bay...
luckily my apartment was fine and I only had to deal with the cold
bleeding in through the large windows, the rumbling in the building
from the violent wind outside, the roaring of the pelting rain all
night and all day. Parents went most of Wednesday without power,
and without heat - had to cover up the birds' cages with blankets -
especially Lory, being in Dad's office room... I think they might have
ended up moving him from the office to another room. Cats stuck
by mom and dad's bedroom all night hiding. They finally got their
fireplace at home fixed Thursday afternoon so that they'd have heat at
least even if the power went down again... power finally restored
on Thursday for them, but I feel sorry for all the people in Langley
and further out that didn't get their power restored for over a
week. More rain on Friday, turned to snow by Saturday, I think...-Sunday 26th. Couldn't drive to work because of the snow
(took some pictures with my Razr of the >foot of snow atop the
buildings, along the ground, everywhere - that was still coming down in
immense flakes). Got in my car, tried to drive out to Burnaby Mt
Pkway to take Hastings to work... turned back at the intersection
because it was simply too slippery and dangerous. Called work,
told them I couldn't get there. Christina at work suggested I try
transit, and not to worry if I couldn't make it. So, I transitted
to work for the first time (since it's relatively simple from SFU,
unlike from HS Bay). I trudged out through the snow past the
Cornerstone and to the bus loop, waited for the 145 to Production
Station, talked to another unfortunate traveller there who'd also been
called into his work. He said the busses had stopped last night
(the night previous), but only for an hour, so it should be alright for
coming back in the evening. It was indeed much safer in the snow
- the busses were heavy enough to make it along the roads without
slipping and skytrain is unaffected by weather since floats on
magnetism. Noticed that the snowflakes were much smaller at the
bottom of the hill and throughout town, and although there was still a
healthy quilt of snow cover, it was probably a quarter (maybe five cm's
sticking?) of what was atop the mountain. Made it into work an
hour late (which Christina was fine with b/c of the weather), but
relatively unscathed. Must remember: 145 to Production
Station, take the skytrain West until Commercial Street/Broadway
station, hop off, go over the bridge, hop on the Expo Line West the
rest of the way to Science World. Took me roughly 1 hr from
leaving home to get there that day.-So, at work... interesting day. Mostly quite slow b/c of
the weather, but I was surprised how many visitors still came despite
the snowstorm. Jane was at concession and was going star-crazy
because Kristin Kreuk (the local actress who plays Lana on Smallville)
was there that day with friends... I told Jane not to get so excited -
Kristin Kreuk is just another Vancouverite like the rest of us and
actresses get enough flack from fans as it is. She tried to get
Brandon to go stalk her, unsuccessfully, hahaha. It was amusing
all the same. Jenn was in BodyWorlds GS, talked to her for a
while, who also thought the entire thing was pretty amusing (oddly
enough, the actress in question and friends was standing fifteen feet
away in front of the Omni ramp and Jenn missed her =P). It was
Donna, Anna, Roy, and me in the GS downstairs that day. Anna,
Roy, and I had fun playing with the new toys that were in...
particularly PlasmaCar races and the new sand art pictures
(whaddyacall'em). It was fun. Anna mentioned it was funny
that we were all like big kids and we all ended up working at the SW GS
together. Learned something new that day, didn't know Anna was
cantonese - apparantly she's only 1/4 Viet, which is why she's got the
last name she does. Go figure. Parents gave me a ride home
after work in the M-Class after going for dinner.... it's the only car
we have that really had a chance in that weather.-Monday, as noted, univ closed, school cancelled, snow day!
-Tuesday evening (yup, I know it was Tuesday not Wednesday because I remember watching Dead Zone
this week, which is on Wednesday nights), 28 November: My cousin Gary was in
town - passing through from TO on the way with meeting up with his mom,
Aunt May Sim, in HK for a few weeks. Mom, Dad, and I took him to
dinner. Dinner was good, also good catching up with Gary.
Gary, Winnie, Henry & Family (my cousins on Dad's side) used to
trade visits with me every few years when we were kids. We drove
Gary back to his friend's house where he was staying; his flight was
noon the next day. We went to Metro after dinner so Dad could
could use this gift card he had at Tip Top Tailor's - he got a leather
jacket, which came with gloves and needed to get his gloves. I
ended up buying a new dress shirt, two new pairs of pants, and a new
winter hat while I was there. Nice.-This week: done more work on Confluence Drifter story.
Darn, so close to beginning to being able to start writing! I
feel the strong allure of beginning, and yet I know I cannot spend any
real time on it until I'm done my schoolwork first.-Very cool... wanna get: Waiting
by ebay for prices to come down... Maybe I'll go by the
model shops at Crystal Mall, or Richmond... might be there less
shipping - or then again it could be more expensive there.
-Also wanna get a Wii, but too $$. Looks like such great
fun. Oh well, no loss... it's not one of those things that
really lasts
anyway, like something expertly made and/or antique. If it's not
something you could display, hang on your wall, treasure - it's usually just a
momentary bit of fun.
- 2:43 am
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Conspiracies to think about?
Hmmm.... makes you think.There is a theory going around that seems to have scientific support
that the WTC towers on 9/11 were not brought down by the plane crashes,
but as in inside job through the use of a controlled demolition
explosive known as thermite (in a variation called thermate).Links follow:
Interview with BYU physics professor who has investigated this:
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-2842384983834100001&q=thermite&hl=en
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=695492513004925125&q=thermite&hl=enWTC video that seems to show signs of thermite use prior to collapse:
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=545886459853896774&q=thermite&hl=enVideo of thermite in action:
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=695492513004925125&q=thermite&hl=en
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=5735009028560517081&q=thermite&hl=en
- 2:36 am
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The cold out.
Noteworthy today: Whoa... news1130 says highs of -6 today! ...With wind-chill of -18 or colder...It's really beautiful, sunny, blue-sky outside too!
- 6:41 pm
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MI:III
In the spirit of the original television series - and in a large part,
the first movie - the ideal Mission Impossible movie should be a
combination of the clockwork precision of a perfectly planned Rube
Goldberg machine with the ensemble panache of a Magnificent Seven
movie. Each character should be compelling and yet together they
should fit into a beautifully complex machine whose purpose will only
be revealed when complete.Does this movie measure up to such a standard?
Definitely more so than the grotesquely over-the-top solo Tom Cruise outing Mission Impossible II
(which tried all too hard to change the franchise into what it was
never intended to be - a modern Bond movie), but still sadly deficient
of the goal. Oddly enough, modern thievery movies like Ocean's Eleven succeed precisely where modern M:I films fail, and I'll say why. Director J.J.Abrams should understand this point well, being the creator of Alias
- a spy franchise that prominently features complex "Rambaldi"devices
as part of their plot. Sadly, even his effort here seems mediocre
at best.An analogy should illustrate my point: Imagine the perfectly constructed antique clockwork that should be the ideal Mission Impossible
film. Each piece of the plot, each character, each discovery -
all these work together, reinforce each other in resonant harmony
towards a greater goal that necessarily involves each component
part. Now, in comparison MI:III
stands like a collection of wind-up toys (being each momentarily
dazzling - but more often than not superfluous - action-spy sequence)
tossed in a bucket together (the overall plot), rattling against one
another until one is finally tossed out of the bucket (the
climax).The secondary characters (and they are oh-so secondary) largely
unoriginal - with the possible exception of Maggie Q's spystress
Zhen Lei - in their creation, ripped out of previous Mission Impossible films and episodes of Alias. Am I the only person that didn't constantly see flashes of Alias everywhere in this film - especially in the resident Simon Pegg's (Shaun of the Dead, great cameo) techno-geek Benji vs. Kevin Weisman's Marshall? To top it off, the secondary characters are sadly underdeveloped
and underutilized in exchange for Tom Cruise screentime. They
never have the screentime to pick up "cool" factors of their own as in
a Magnificent Seven film (or Ocean's Eleven),
let alone unique personalities, or even well-defined roles to explain
their individual functions in the spy group. The team members'
functions are never completely clear-cut in this film whereas in the
original series and the first film, each team member had a very
specific function - as a specific cog in the mission, if you will -
that they played out to the letter towards the greater goal of the
overall mission plan. More often than not, most of the "missions"
of this film had little planning at all - shocking for a MI
film - and seemed more to be frenetic collections of things going wrong
(which may or may not reflect the mentality of its star). The
so-called "ensemble" action sequences - while more so than in MI:II
- are so focused upon Tom Cruise's acrobatics that they are less so
ensemble and more so "Tom Cruise-support". The Tom Cruise/Ethan
Hunt & Katie Holmes look-alike fiancee romantic subplot is both
unnecessary and without enough substance to be even deserving of the
moniker 'subplot'. It seems that the film is filled with failed
flashback attempts at emotional expression. However, you never
really know any of the characters well enough to feel any emotion, and
none are adequately developed so as to be compelling. For the
most part, the acting of the leads is as flat, cold, and unastounding
as the spy roles they portray. There is simply a lack of
recognition as to what is important in a MI film.
Finally, events simply happen in this film like a mediocre videogame -
there is no mystery revealed, no conspiring of events, no overall
culmination of plot, no build-up to the climax. It is ironic that
amidst all this spectacular action, there is simply no suspense -
dramatic or otherwise. It is all a wash of ephemeral flashes in
which little, if anything, has genuine significance.It is little wonder that an antique clockwork is infinitely more valuable than the bucket of wind-up toys.
A side note - I often get Billy Crudup (Musgrave) confused with Firefly's Sean Maher - went through the entire film thinking how nice it was to some of the Firefly cast getting new work. Another side note: incidentally, Maggie Q (or Maggie Quigley) is actually not chinese at all in any part,
but half Vietnamese and half Polish/Irish American, raised in Hawaii
and having learned Cantonese in Hong Kong through modeling/acting
roles there (some with Jackie Chan).Having seen this film, I am concerned about the fate of the Star Trek franchise, since the reigns of Star Trek XI
have also been handed over to Director/Writer team J.J. Abrams with
Alex Kurtzman and Robert Orci. I sincerely hope they get Star Trek right, even failing at Mission Impossible.5.5 lightning bolts out of 10.
- 9:34 pm
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